The National Hurricane Center on Tuesday was continuing to monitor an area of storms over the western Caribbean Sea.
Forecasters on Tuesday said the cluster of rough weather had a 10 percent chance over the next two days of becoming the second storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season.
Over five days, as the storm moves north into the Gulf of Mexico, that likelihood grows to only 20 percent.
In a brief forecast analysis, Senior Hurricane Specialist Richard Pasch wrote that “environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for some limited development when the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.”
The first storm of the 2018 season was Subtropical Storm Alberto, a sprawling and somewhat disorganized system that made landfall in the Florida Panhandle on Monday, May 28, Memorial Day. Alberto wasn’t a strong windstorm but it did bring heavy rain to much of Florida and the Southeast, triggering flood warnings and playing a role in several deaths in the United States and Cuba.