For the past week, the disturbance in the Caribbean has been up and down, pulsating in strength and organization.
Starting Tuesday and continuing early Wednesday, it was down and appearing less likely to grow into a bona fide tropical system.
In its 2 a.m. Wednesday tropical outlook, the National Hurricane Center gave the large area of low pressure a 10 percent chance of developing over the next two days. That’s down from 50 percent on Monday.
Upper level winds are hampering the elongated disturbance, which was about 100 miles southwest of the Cayman Islands. A hurricane hunter mission for this...